Polls suggest that Le Pen and Éric Zemmour combined will attract close to one-third of all votes. In single-round votes, such a divide might hurt the chances of election success for the right, but that is hardly the case here.
#France presidential racr tv#
The demise of traditional mainstream parties in France has been helped along by the growth of political extremes, with more voters gravitating to the extreme left and right.īut for the first time in recent French political history, the far-right camp is split between two candidates, seasoned presidential candidate Le Pen and Eric Zemmour, a TV pundit and journalist who has presented himself as the insurgent far right candidate in the 2022 election. Macron’s capturing of the political center is only half of the story. Current predictions suggest fewer than 10% of voters will opt for Les Républicains’ Valérie Pécresse and barely 2% for Anne Hidalgo, the Socialist mayor of Paris.Ī catastrophic result in the first round of voting could very well spell the end of these two parties. Barring a major surprise, the Socialist party and Les Républicains will once again be shut out of the second round. Macron positioned himself in the center of the political spectrum, taking oxygen away from the two established parties.įive years on, the polls have confirmed the demise of these two previously dominant political parties. He did so as the head of a new party, La République En Marche. Les Républicains’ candidate was nudged out a place in the second round by Le Pen and the Socialist candidate could barely muster more than 6% of the vote.Įmmanuel Macron topped the first-round vote in 2017 and went on to win the runoff. In that election, neither party even qualified for the second-round runoff.
Candidates from one or the other of these two parties has won every single presidential election since 1958.Īnd then came the political earthquake of 2017. Up until 2017, French politics was dominated by two parties: the leftist Socialist Party and the conservative Les Républicains. One key thing to watch in the first round of voting is how well – or badly – France’s establishment parties do. This could hypothetically give him a chance to capitalize on the momentum of the presidential election to elect a parliament aligned with his agenda. Whoever wins the presidency will be dependent on securing a majority of supporters in parliament to implement his or her agenda.īut should Macron win re-election, he may be tempted to dissolve the parliament the next day, which would mean holding the elections two weeks earlier than planned. These parliamentary elections are just as crucial as the ones to choose a president. The French public will be called upon again to vote in two rounds of parliamentary elections currently scheduled for June 12 and June 19. In that second-round vote, the candidate with the most votes will become president.īut the voting won’t end there. If no one candidates secures more than 50% of all votes – an outcome that is very likely – the two leading candidates qualify for a run-off that is scheduled for April 24. In the first round of the presidential election, voters will be deciding between 12 official candidates, including front-runners Macron and Le Pen.
#France presidential racr series#
Encore! When One National Vote Isn’t EnoughĪpril 10 will mark only the first in a series of votes that will take place in France in the coming weeks. asked European politics expert Garret Martin of American University to provide a guide of what to watch for in the election.
A second round of voting is expected to take place on April 24. Yet the vote looks likely to be heading to another showdown between Macron and far-right challenger Marine Le Pen, despite the presence of new faces in the election campaign.
With polls suggesting a narrowing gap among the front-runners, French voters will begin the two-stage process of choosing a president on April 10, 2022.Ī lot has changed since incumbent Emmanuel Macron captured the presidency in 2017 – with a global pandemic and a major conflagration in Europe topping the list.
0 kommentar(er)
